Latest research

On this page we provide links to some of the latest methodology research articles in prognosis and prediction research.

Please contact us about methods articles to add, as we want to be inclusive.


  • Minimum sample size for external validation of a clinical prediction model with a binary outcome (in-press, Stat Med)

  • External validation of clinical prediction models: simulation-based sample size calculations were more reliable ... (PDF)

  • A note on estimating the Cox‐Snell R2 from a reported C statistic (AUROC) to inform sample size calculations for developing a prediction model with a binary outcome (PDF)

  • Clinical prediction models to predict the risk of multiple binary outcomes: a comparison of approaches (PDF)

  • Adaptive sample size determination for the development of clinical prediction models (PDF)