
Updates log
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25/4/22: Added a link to a software page by Daniele Giardiello and a video on issues with cross-validation by Robert Tibshirani
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16/4/22: Major update across the whole site including courses, about 40 new papers, more methods guidance and videos
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New methods papers added on counterfactual prediction models
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14/4/22: New videos added by Joie Ensor on pmsampsize and Nan van Geloven on treatment in prediction models
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10/11/21: Minor update about courses, and some new references added to the methodology guidance.
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30/9/2021: Big update across the whole site, with updated information about courses, a new IPD meta-analysis textbook, new videos (see sample size, categorisation of continuous variables, controversies, predictors of treatment effect and predictive performance measures), software details, new research papers, and updated methods guidance, including a new section on predictors of treatment effect.
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13/5/21: Courses - The Prognosis Research in Healthcare summer school is now open for booking here
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26/4/21: Added a new video "Harnessing repeated measurements of predictor variables for clinical risk prediction: a review of existing methods" by Lucy Bull here and added PDF link on the prognostic model page
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31/3/21: An update on our training courses - some are now open for booking including IPD meta-analysis course
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31/3/21: New papers published on sample size required for external validation of a prognostic model
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21/2/21: Added many more articles to the methods guidance - too many to mention!
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21/2/21: Added a 'What's new?' page to highlight latest research articles and to keep a log of website updates
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20/2/21: Updated the courses and events pages
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20/2/21: Added many new videos, including some from the MEMTAB 2021 conference. Please visit the sample size, emerging topics, and penalisation & shrinkage pages.
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20/2/21: Added a new video tab for emerging topics in prediction modelling, including talks on causal inference and multi-outcome prediction.
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11/2/21: Added more methods guidance, including new paper explaining how to estimate the Cox‐Snell R2 from a reported C statistic (AUROC) to inform sample size calculations for developing a prediction model with a binary outcome (PDF)
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7/11/20: Added more methods links, including new sample size paper for validation of continuous outcomes (PDF)
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2/11/20: Added further methods references, including link to slides by Dr Maarten van Smeden on sample size
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12/10/20: Added video by Prof Carl Moons about systematic reviews of prognosis studies
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2/10/20: Added video by Dr Laure Wynants about COVID-19 related prediction models
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2/10/20: Added additional video on sample size for prediction model development delivered by Prof Richard Riley
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2/10/20: Added video by Prof Frank Harrell Jr on controversies in prediction modeling
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2/10/20: Added a separate tab for videos, to increase their visibility
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1/10/20: Quotes of note! Added a new page of notable quotes about prognosis research (and bad practice)
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1/10/20: Links to other related websites and online apps (e.g. for sample size) now included
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1/10/20: Methods guidance and PDFs extended throughout, especially in the prognostic models section
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22/9/20: Introductory video added about Prognosis Research & the PROGRESS framework
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21/9/20: Methods guidance added for prognostic factor research here
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16/9/20: MEMTAB Conference will now be a virtual one; further details here
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15/9/20: Videos added on sample size for prognostic modelling and conduct & reporting of prognostic models