• 25/4/22: Added a link to a software page by Daniele Giardiello and a video on issues with cross-validation by Robert Tibshirani

• 16/4/22: Major update across the whole site including courses, about 40 new papers, more methods guidance and videos

• New methods papers added on counterfactual prediction models

• 14/4/22: New videos added by Joie Ensor on pmsampsize and Nan van Geloven on treatment in prediction models

• 10/11/21: Minor update about courses, and some new references added to the methodology guidance.

• 30/9/2021: Big update across the whole site, with updated information about courses, a new IPD meta-analysis textbook, new videos (see sample size, categorisation of continuous variables, controversies, predictors of treatment effect and predictive performance measures), software details, new research papers, and updated methods guidance, including a new section on predictors of treatment effect.

• 13/5/21: Courses - The Prognosis Research in Healthcare summer school is now open for booking here

• 26/4/21: Added a new video "Harnessing repeated measurements of predictor variables for clinical risk prediction: a review of existing methods" by Lucy Bull here and added PDF link on the prognostic model page

• 31/3/21:  An update on our training courses - some are now open for booking including IPD meta-analysis course

• 31/3/21: New papers published on sample size required for external validation of a prognostic model

• 21/2/21:  Added many more articles to the methods guidance - too many to mention!

• 21/2/21:  Added a 'What's new?' page to highlight latest research articles and to keep a log of website updates

• 20/2/21:  Updated the courses and events pages

• 20/2/21:  Added many new videos, including some from the MEMTAB 2021 conference. Please visit the sample size, emerging topics, and penalisation & shrinkage pages.

• 20/2/21:  Added a new video tab for emerging topics in prediction modelling, including talks on causal inference and multi-outcome prediction.   

• 11/2/21:  Added more methods guidance, including new paper explaining how to estimate the Cox‐Snell R2 from a reported C statistic (AUROC) to inform sample size calculations for developing a prediction model with a binary outcome (PDF)

• 7/11/20:  Added more methods links, including new sample size paper for validation of continuous outcomes (PDF)

• 2/11/20:  Added further methods references, including link to slides by Dr Maarten van Smeden on sample size

• 12/10/20: Added video by Prof Carl Moons about systematic reviews of prognosis studies  

• 2/10/20:  Added video by Dr Laure Wynants about COVID-19 related prediction models

• 2/10/20:  Added additional video on sample size for prediction model development delivered by Prof Richard Riley

• 2/10/20:  Added video by Prof Frank Harrell Jr on controversies in prediction modeling

• 2/10/20:  Added a separate tab for videos, to increase their visibility 

• 1/10/20:   Quotes of note! Added a new page of notable quotes about prognosis research (and bad practice) 

• 1/10/20:   Links to other related websites and online apps (e.g. for sample size) now included

• 1/10/20:   Methods guidance and PDFs extended throughout, especially in the prognostic models  section

• 22/9/20:  Introductory video added about Prognosis Research & the PROGRESS framework

• 21/9/20:   Methods guidance added for prognostic factor research here

• 16/9/20:   MEMTAB Conference will now be a virtual one; further details here  

• 15/9/20:   Videos added on sample size for prognostic modelling and conduct & reporting of prognostic models

• 13/9/20:   Website born! 

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